【~~chukh1~~个人专区】煮酒论英雄之任逍遥

chukh1

阿弥陀佛....
看来那些要博反弹都被夹著了!!
这种赚钱法只有艺高胆大的投资者能够去玩...
希望午市能够好转..

shuhjiunho

还有没有希望，看的就是这些炒家，在期货捞了多少，救回了自己多少的老本。以这样的情况看来，这些炒家根本就是亏着钱，吃着下的。新年后的指数期货成交额，成交量，谁有？

不管怎么样，我早上卖了大约70%的股，一些基本面好的股，依然放着。总而言之还是跑赢大市，不过确少赚了很多。重新部署，在适当的时机，有“讯号”时再重新出发。金钱在袋子里重要些。

[ 本帖最后由 shuhjiunho 于 1-3-2007 10:41 AM 编辑 ]

chukh1

原帖由 shuhjiunho 于 1-3-2007 10:13 AM 发表
还有没有希望，看的就是这些炒家，在期货捞了多少，救回了自己多少的老本。以这样的情况看来，这些炒家根本就是亏着钱，吃着下的。新年后的期货成交额，成交量，谁有？

不管怎么样，我早上卖了大约70%的股， ...

真的是亏著钱??
我微小的看法是未必的..
他们可能重新在地位建立部位..

是的..是时候重新部署..哈哈!!

gto28

很同意UNCLE HO 的意见，早前也放掉很多。
BUFFET的选好股底买高卖是错不了的。不贪不嫌少，有赚就好。

sector

这是很容易理解的。所有用margin account买的股票跌超过６０％,就会给迫仓。经过前几天一轮的爆跌，margin account users的最爱低价股，warrant,CA,都大部分＂中蕉＂。

直到现在，我还没有看到margin call。这是很不好的情况，因为如果这个星期没有，下个星期又会跌多一次勁。

LJLQ

原帖由 逍遥派奖门人 于 28-2-2007 02:31 PM 发表



非也! 非也!

早一轮, 散户赚大钱,  菜贩赚过十万.

咖厘非股票经纪, 赚入过千万. (自炒).

无业游民, usa 飞机友赚入六七十万.

  绝不战言。

为何逍遥派奖门人 会变成幕容家的包三哥，包不同？

TycoonShan

散户的信心已经动摇。
如果纯粹为了底部建仓，之前的仓位已经很好，而且留意到前两天的股灾带给普篇的下滑，但是根本找不到下滑了20%的优质股，或有分量的指数股。明显的这个就已经不像是建仓。

那么此次大波动目的是为了什么？
我相信武兄那篇来之香港的文章。从股市抛售大量的票，自己承接（个股没有明显的跌幅吧）当然也顺手抛售一些套现，然后期货入手搜刮资金。大马的期货是甜点，看看印度，欧美，以及中新港，那才是主菜。（香港800亿，上海900亿的现货成交量）
一来没信心的投机/偷鸡散户慌忙抛售，接连影响日后数天的信心。然后他们再慢慢的蕴莨下一波的走势。
票还在我手，钱我也有，资金的成本我也赚回手。

我只想知道他们会如何恢复散户的信心。以及中港等地的超级大牛成较量可以维持多久。此‘股灾’已经为此大牛的后市放上序幕。

[ 本帖最后由 TycoonShan 于 1-3-2007 11:07 AM 编辑 ]

alfredfx

see bursa announcement.

alfredfx

Greenspan Says U.S. Recession Possible, Not Probable (Update4)

By Jason Clenfield and Kiyori Ueno

March 1 (Bloomberg) -- Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said a recession in the U.S. is possible, though not probable this year as excess inventory is being reduced quickly, according to people attending a CLSA Japan Forum in Tokyo today.

Greenspan spoke in a satellite video link and his remarks came from notes taken by Bernard Key, a former economics professor at Tama University in Tokyo, who attended the event. They were confirmed by four people who declined to be identified. CLSA wouldn't comment on Greenspan's presentation.

``By the end of the year, there is the possibility, but not the probability of the U.S. moving into recession,'' Greenspan said, according to Key's notes. There are specific housing and general inventory excesses that are being addressed quickly, but need to be carefully monitored, he said.

Today's address came three days after Greenspan said a U.S. recession was possible this year in part because slowing growth in profit margins suggests the expansion might be winding down, according to the Associated Press. He acknowledged that most economists aren't predicting a recession. Greenspan's successor Ben S. Bernanke, told Congress yesterday that the Fed still expects the economy to pick up later this year.

Greenspan's comments earlier this week were ``probably misinterpreted, that's why we see a clarification today,'' said Glenn Maguire, chief Asia economist for Societe Generale SA in Hong Kong. ``To hint at the possibility of a recession won't make Bernanke's life any easier.''

Profit Margins

Current yield premiums are not sustainable, profit margins are peaking and the U.S. growth cycle is in a mature phase, Greenspan said today.

The former Fed chairman said previous experience suggests a flattening of profit margins should produce a recession. The globalization of the economy may mean that pattern may not be repeated this time, according to a fund manager who attended the presentation.

Greenspan's remarks earlier this week emerged at a time of weakness in some areas of the U.S. economy, including the housing and auto industries, in an expansion that started in 2001.

On Feb. 27, U.S. stocks had their biggest tumble since 2002 after a plunge in Chinese shares sparked a global sell off.

The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index, which tracks yuan- denominated A shares listed on China's two exchanges, declined 62.73, or 2.5 percent, to 2481.84 as of 1:20 p.m. local time. The measure added 3.5 percent yesterday, after plunging 9.2 percent two days ago. It has climbed 24 percent this year.

Accomodating Shocks

Greenspan today said the relative mildness of this week's equity market declines is evidence that financial systems have become better at accommodating shocks, according to one fund manager who attended the talk. The Dow Joes Industrial Average yesterday climbed 0.4 percent after a drop of 3.3 percent the previous day.

Asked about investment opportunities, Greenspan said that at some stage there will be a recovery to a more ``normal'' risk spread, according to a trader at today's event.

The trader said he'd heard Greenspan speak three times in the past 12 months and this was Greenspan's most cautious. The same trader said Greenspan used the words ``mature phase'' three times today to describe the U.S. economy and that the repetition of the phrasing was conspicuous.

Disinflation Trend

Greenspan said the global economy is in a long-term trend of disinflation and low interest rates, mainly because of the emergence of so-called centrally planned economies, such as Eastern Europe and China, according to Key's notes.

Because the global economy now includes countries and regions that have highly skilled but less expensive labor, the cost of goods has declined. That's allowed real and nominal interest rates to decline, he said.

Greenspan said in two or three years, this disinflation process will probably come to an end and the world economy will return to a more normal era of price-pressure increases. The asset category most affected by that will be low-quality debt, the former Fed chairman said.

Yesterday, Bernanke said in congressional testimony that ``there's a reasonable possibility that we'll see some strengthening of the economy sometime during the middle of the year.'' The central bank's outlook was unshaken by a U.S. government report that showed the fourth-quarter expansion was slower than previously estimated, Bernanke added.

Bernanke and his colleagues have been mostly upbeat about economic prospects this year, while noting risks from industries such as housing.

`Gangbusters'

The Fed has said over the past month that the housing market may be bottoming. San Francisco Fed President Janet Yellen said repeatedly in January that the job market was going ``gangbusters.''

Most forecasters consider that a recession is possible, though chances are ``pretty low,'' Wachovia Corp. chief economist John Silvia, who helps run a quarterly survey of business economists, said in an interview on Feb. 27.

Since retiring in January 2006, Greenspan, 80, has been working on a book, ``The Age of Turbulence,'' and speaking to companies and business groups. The New York Times reported last March that Penguin Press, part of Pearson Plc, paid Greenspan at least $8.5 million for the rights to the book, which is scheduled for a Sept. 17 release.

chukh1

日圓回升引發歐洲股市下跌
(明報) 03月 01日 星期四 10:45PM
日圓兌美元升至十一個星期高位，令投資者爭相平倉，借低息的日圓進行高收益的投資可能受到打擊。

分析家稱，美元兌日圓跌至117算，令市場有點緊張，而歐洲股市在美國開市之前普遍下挫，幅度普遍超過1%

chukh1

原帖由 chukh1 于 2-3-2007 12:28 AM 发表
日圓回升引發歐洲股市下跌
(明報) 03月 01日 星期四 10:45PM
日圓兌美元升至十一個星期高位，令投資者爭相平倉，借低息的日圓進行高收益的投資可能受到打擊。

分析家稱，美元兌日圓跌至117算，令市場有點緊 ...

好刺激哦!!
signal 陆续出现!!

kray_keigo

股票行爆满，没位进去。里面的uncle auntry很high~~i in seremban area

chukh1

原帖由 kray_keigo 于 2-3-2007 12:31 AM 发表
股票行爆满，没位进去。里面的uncle auntry很high~~i in seremban area

请问哪一间??
pm 證券行?? 黄氏??

chukh1

如果股市要调整1/3...
香港大概在18000到19000点..
大马应该800到900点...

香港富豪李四叔说..如果破21000 就要减持..如果到18000/19000 就要增持..
哈哈...富豪就是富豪..

8years

原帖由 chukh1 于 2-3-2007 12:50 AM 发表
如果股市要调整1/3...
香港大概在18000到19000点..
大马应该800到900点...

香港富豪李四叔说..如果破21000 就要减持..如果到18000/19000 就要增持..
哈哈...富豪就是富豪..

１／３就是大熊了。。。。。。。。。
希望不是吧。。。。。。

napster

去年5月期间，新加坡就是跌了400-600 点左右。然后就一直冲到3300

所以我认为股票还是会跌的，因为这几天的不是小跌，correction 可能提早来临

这样才健康。

我的broker 也叫我不要进场，先看看

chukh1

原帖由 8years 于 2-3-2007 12:52 AM 发表


１／３就是大熊了。。。。。。。。。
希望不是吧。。。。。。

大雄,大熊..傻傻分不清楚...
如果是bear bear..至少60%~70%..
而且成交量是萎缩的...
大投机家德国师父说...货会从弱手转到强手,俗称"货源归边"..

chukh1

原帖由 napster 于 2-3-2007 12:57 AM 发表
去年5月期间，新加坡就是跌了400-600 点左右。然后就一直冲到3300

所以我认为股票还是会跌的，因为这几天的不是小跌，correction 可能提早来临

这样才健康。

我的broker 也叫我不要进场，先看看

去年五月??
哈哈..让我有印象..
那次就是外资的unwind 动作咯..全部怕死日本升息,快快埋单去找数!!
哈哈...

8years

原帖由 chukh1 于 2-3-2007 01:00 AM 发表


大雄,大熊..傻傻分不清楚...
如果是bear bear..至少60%~70%..
而且成交量是萎缩的...
大投机家德国师父说...货会从弱手转到强手,俗称"货源归边"..

６０－７０％不就变成９７经济风暴？？
很多人要跳楼。。。。。。

chukh1

原帖由 8years 于 2-3-2007 01:04 AM 发表


６０－７０％不就变成９７经济风暴？？
很多人要跳楼。。。。。。

哈哈..每个股灾都不一样的因素的啦..
你就研究97 的股灾跟2000 的股灾..一样咩??
难道跌70%就是97 经济风暴??

忘记历史吧..忘记媒体在大家脑海中种下的巨大的负面种子吧..
现在已经是新的局面,新的游戏,新的规则..
不要让历史拖著你的鼻子走!!
要了解历史,但是要活用..而不是死记..
应该要征服历史!让他成为你的吉娃娃!!哈哈!!

[ 本帖最后由 chukh1 于 2-3-2007 01:09 AM 编辑 ]