【专题讨论】美股行情 （每日更新〕

tecom123

有谁知道下次的FOMC是几时吗？需要预备，预备咯。

clk125

应该是3月尾。。。
BBT.

tecom123

应该没那么久吧！！！11和12月有，应该下个月也有，不知是几时？！

东邪

大家今天要把这张倒过来看。。

不要放弃

看他摸着肚子，脚又夹着..好像肚子痛...要涝赛....

clk125

原帖由 tecom123 于 12-12-2007 11:21 PM 发表
应该没那么久吧！！！11和12月有，应该下个月也有，不知是几时？！

Dec. 12 (Bloomberg) -- Federal Reserve officials still expect the economy to grow and are reluctant to deliver the deeper interest-rate reductions demanded by some economists and investors.

The Federal Open Market Committee lowered the benchmark rate by a quarter-point yesterday to 4.25 percent, and said cumulative cuts of 1 percentage point this year should promote ``moderate growth.'' Policy makers also dropped their assessment that growth and inflation risks were ``roughly'' equal and cited ``uncertainty'' about the outlook.

The move put the central bank, which has struggled to contain the subprime credit collapse, further at odds with investors. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell the most after a Fed decision since Ben S. Bernanke, 53, became chairman in February 2006 as traders speculated he will fail to avert a recession. Officials haven't ruled out further steps to ease the credit squeeze in financial markets before they meet Jan. 29-30.

``This is a reluctant committee, they didn't want to ease,'' said Vincent Reinhart, former director of the Fed's Division of Monetary Affairs and now a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute in Washington. ``The data are coming about as expected, and they are being asked to respond. They view that as double-counting.''

Officials are actively considering ways to stem a surge in borrowing costs among banks and increase liquidity in markets. Some economists were disappointed the Fed didn't announce a greater cut to the discount rate than the quarter-point that officials delivered yesterday.

Yields Tumble

Stocks fell in Europe and Asia after the Fed's decision. Treasuries also fell, with two-year yields rising 12 basis points, or 0.12 percentage point, to 3.04 percent by 9:37 a.m. in London, according to bond broker Cantor Fitzgerald LP.

Futures prices showed traders anticipate the Fed will cut its main rate to 3.75 percent or lower by the end of March. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point.

``I can't remember a time when the Fed's credibility with the markets has been lower than it is today,'' said Stephen Stanley, chief economist at RBS Greenwich Capital in Greenwich, Connecticut, and a former Fed researcher. ``Practically everyone has something to be disappointed with'' in the Fed's statement.

The Fed lowered the charge on direct loans to banks, the discount rate, to 4.75 percent, surprising economists who expected a half-point reduction to encourage more borrowing.

Direct Loans

Fed Vice Chairman Donald Kohn and other officials have expressed frustration banks haven't made more use of direct loans. While lending jumped as high as $7.2 billion on Sept. 12, it has since retreated.

Concern about mounting losses on securities linked to mortgages diminished banks' willingness to lend to each other, sending funding costs higher. The three-month dollar London Interbank Offered Rate rose to 5.11 percent yesterday from 4.87 percent a month before.

``Strains in financial markets have increased in recent weeks,'' policy makers recognized yesterday. That contributed to the ``uncertainty surrounding the outlook for economic growth and inflation,'' the Fed said.

The risk of companies defaulting on their debt rose the most in a month yesterday. The Markit CDX North America Investment Grade Index, a U.S. benchmark, climbed 6 basis points to 79 basis points, according to Deutsche Bank AG in New York.

Economists said the central bank may consider steps such as extending discount-rate loan terms to 90 days, from 30. In 1999, the Fed addressed potential money shortages during the 2000 computer-system changeover by selling options on almost $500 billion of repurchase agreements.

Dissenting Vote

Policy makers weren't united on yesterday's decision. Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren, 50, a former bank- supervision chief with a research background in New England and Japanese financial crises, favored a half-point reduction.

Only seven of the 12 Fed district banks requested the quarter-point discount-rate cut, suggesting some asked for a bigger move, analysts said.

The Fed has avoided stating that growth was a bigger concern than inflation in its statements since August. On Aug. 7, the FOMC said inflation was a greater risk, only to cut rates the next month. Officials said after their Oct. 30-31 meeting that the risks were ``roughly'' equal.

Each time, futures trading showed traders shrugged off the comments, continuing to bet on further rate cuts.

`Self-Fulfilling'

``The Fed's tendency to be more reactionary, combined with a market braced for a greater, more pronounced slowdown, amounts to a self-fulfilling prophecy,'' said Taylor Burroughs, an Atlanta-based derivatives analyst at Regions Financial Corp., with $138 billion in assets. ``The Fed is looking at forecasts and the market is more focused on the here and now.''

Officials noted that ``elevated energy and commodity prices'' may cause faster inflation. A Labor Department report Dec. 14 may show consumer prices climbed 4.1 percent last month from a year before, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg survey. Excluding food and energy, prices probably rose 2.3 percent, from 2.2 percent in October.

Policy makers may feel as if they're ``walking in a dark room,'' said Bruce Kasman, chief economist at JPMorgan Chase & Co. in New York. ``They're not feeling as certain as they would like to about where the economy is heading.''

KelvinLiew

原帖由 clk125 于 12-12-2007 10:50 PM 发表
昨天跌300点，今天上200多点。。。
被它玩死。。。

这才叫美国－－让你抓不到球

发财乘年少

天亮了， 我要去卖股。
丰收日

KelvinLiew

原帖由 publicpang 于 12-12-2007 11:10 AM 发表
美国减息=股市跳水....

第0次减息=起200点
第一次减息=起100点
第二次减息=跌200点
第三次减息=跌300点
第四次减息=跌400点..?!

Dow13,432.77-294.26-2.14%http://ichart.fi ...

美国的图越来越像KLCI的图了－－开高走低－－还一路下的说

Fighter1

3個月連調3次
聯儲局下月或再降息
（紐約12日訊）美國聯儲局降息1碼，據《路透社》的調查顯示，大多數債券交易商預計，聯儲局將在明年1月進一步降息。
《路透社》在降息結果公布后訪問了18家一級債市交易商，其中有15家認為1月將會再降息，其中14家預計再降1碼，有一家預期降2碼，另外兩家預計維持利率不變。

8家交易商估計，明年3月會議才會降息。

美國聯邦儲備局公開市場委員會（FOMC）開會決定，調降聯邦基金利率0.25%至4.25%。

這是聯儲局今年，也是過去3個月以來，第三度調降聯邦基金利率。

聯儲局並宣布理事會無異議通過，將對銀行放款的貼現率，再調降0.25%至4.75%。

擔心通脹

FOMC在會后發表聲明指出，資料顯示，“經濟成長正在減速，這反映房市修正的加劇，及一些商業與消費支出的放緩。金融市場緊張近週來已有增加。”

FOMC重申，最新降息行動，加上先前採取的行動，應有助促進長期溫和成長。不過，他們也再度表達對通貨膨脹的憂慮。

FOMC表示，雖然核心的通脹今年以來適度增進，但包括升高的能源與商品價格在內的一些因素，可能造成通脹上升的壓力。

FOMC批評一些通脹風險仍存在，並表示會小心持續監控通脹的發展。

FOMC在最新聲明中說：“最近的發展，包括金融市場狀況的惡化，已增加經濟成長與通脹前景的不確定性。”

他們表示，將持續評估金融與其他發展對經濟前景的影響，並會依據需要行動，幫助穩定價格與持續經濟的成長。

FOMC今天以9比1的票數，通過聯邦基金利率調降一碼的決定，其中一票認為應調降2碼。

為避免美國信貸危機進一步惡化經濟，公開市場FOMC在9月18日的會議后曾宣布，聯邦基金利率與銀行貼現率各降2碼；10月31日再度決定各降1碼。

Fighter1

美經濟衰退風險升高
（紐約12日訊）經濟學家對美國經濟的看法愈來愈不樂觀！
根《據華爾街日報》網站的最新調查，將近90%的受訪經濟學家表示，聯邦儲備局于周二做出降息決議，才是正確的做法。

芝加哥Mesirow Financial的經濟學家史汪克指出，聯儲局官員“必須採取展現他們避開經濟衰退風險、同時穩定金融危機的意願的行動。”

她表示，聯儲局主席柏南奇強調，要在內部形成共識的基礎上做出決策，但這已證明不利于該央行因應危機。

史汪克說，“現在，他們需要的是展現決斷力而非共識。”

deadman

虎头蛇尾~~ 给美国佬玩死...

zoom9999

Note: A two day fed meeting is scheduled for January 29 & 30, 2008 (Tuesday-Wednesday). Each meeting date is tentative until confirmed at the meeting immediately preceding it.

Fighter1

就让它跌多一点，明天打算扫货。。。。 (-46.34)



[ 本帖最后由 Fighter1 于 13-12-2007 11:10 PM 编辑 ]

风起云涌

原帖由 Fighter1 于 13-12-2007 11:08 PM 发表
就让它跌多一点，明天打算扫货。。。。 (-46.34)

http://ichart.finance.yahoo.com/b?s=%5EDJI

祝福你

publicpang

还是那句...跌来跌去...还是在13500....

美国老就是不敢把DJ压去12000.....

不要放弃

这样真的很闲....马股港股几天都像嘎赛款...我打算收票过2008年了

tecom123

美股有机会反身？！！

elvingan

Dow 13,378.87 -95.03  (-0.71%)

tomorrow sell all stock NIAO...

tecom123

明天我打算进货，你要丢什么货啊？！